Fundamental Analysis

Fundamental analysis is a method of evaluating a security, such as a stock or bond, by analyzing its intrinsic value. This is done by examining a company’s financial and economic fundamentals, such as its revenue, earnings, assets, and liabilities, as well as broader economic factors that may affect the company’s performance.

Fundamental analysis can be used to determine whether a stock is undervalued or overvalued. If a stock’s price is lower than its intrinsic value, it may be considered undervalued and may be a good investment opportunity. Conversely, if a stock’s price is higher than its intrinsic value, it may be considered overvalued and may not be a good investment opportunity.

One of the main tools used in fundamental analysis is financial statement analysis. This involves analyzing a company’s financial statements, such as its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, to determine its financial health and performance.

In addition to financial statement analysis, fundamental analysts also consider other factors such as industry and market conditions, management quality, and the overall economic environment.

It’s important to note that fundamental analysis is a long-term investment strategy and it takes time to conduct a thorough analysis and make an informed decision. It’s also important to keep in mind that there can be a lag between a company’s financial performance and its stock price, and that market sentiment and other factors can also affect a stock’s price in the short-term.

As with any investment strategy, it’s always important to do your own research and not rely solely on any one method of analysis. It’s a good idea to use a combination of fundamental and technical analysis, as well as market sentiment and other relevant information to make investment decisions.

How to use news in trading?

News can have a significant impact on financial markets and can be used by traders to make informed trading decisions. Here are some ways to use news in trading:

  1. Stay informed: Keep up-to-date with the latest news and events that may affect the financial markets. This can include economic data releases, company earnings reports, political events, and other relevant news.

  2. Understand the market reaction: News can cause volatility in the financial markets, with prices often reacting to the news in the short-term. Traders should understand how the market is likely to react to news, and use this information to make informed trading decisions.

  3. Identify trading opportunities: News can create trading opportunities in the financial markets. For example, a positive earnings report from a company may lead to a rise in its stock price, while negative economic data may cause a currency to weaken.

  4. Use a trading plan: When using news in trading, it’s important to have a trading plan in place. This can include entry and exit points, stop-loss orders, and risk management strategies. A trading plan can help traders make disciplined and informed trading decisions, and can help manage risk.

  5. Combine with technical analysis: News can be used in conjunction with technical analysis to make trading decisions. For example, a trader may use news to identify a potential trading opportunity, and then use technical analysis to confirm the trend and find an entry and exit point.

How To Trade Financial News?

Trading financial news can be a lucrative strategy for traders, but it also carries significant risks. Here are some steps to consider when trading financial news:

  1. Prepare ahead of time: Anticipate upcoming news events and do your research to understand how the market is likely to react. This can include studying historical data and forecasts, and identifying key support and resistance levels.

  2. Focus on high-impact events: Some news events have a greater impact on the markets than others. Focus on high-impact events such as central bank announcements, GDP releases, and employment reports, as these are more likely to cause significant price movements.

  3. Monitor the news in real-time: Be ready to act quickly when news is released. Use a news feed or calendar to stay up-to-date with the latest news, and monitor the markets closely for any sudden price movements.

  4. Use stop-loss orders: News events can be unpredictable and may cause sudden price movements. Use stop-loss orders to limit your losses in case the market moves against your position.

  5. Consider the market sentiment: News events can impact market sentiment, and it’s important to understand how this may affect the market in the short and long term. Consider using technical analysis and other indicators to help identify the market sentiment and potential trading opportunities.

  6. Trade with discipline: Stick to your trading plan and avoid impulsive trading decisions. Be disciplined and use proper risk management strategies to help manage your exposure.

  7. Evaluate your trades: After trading news events, evaluate your trades to identify any areas for improvement. Analyze your results and adjust your trading plan as needed.

Cash Flow Statement

Complementing the balance sheet and income statement, the cash flow statement (CFS) allows investors to understand how a company’s operations are running, where its money is coming from and how it is being spent.

The Structure of the CFS

The cash flow statement is distinct from the income statement and balance sheet because it does not include the amount of future incoming and outgoing cash that has been recorded on credit. Therefore, cash is not the same as net income, which, on the income statement and balance sheet, includes cash sales and sales made on credit. Cash flow is determined by looking at three components by which cash enters and leaves a company, its core operations, investing activities and financing activities.

Cash Flow From Operations

Measuring the cash inflows and outflows caused by core business operations, the operations component of cash flow reflects how much cash is generated from a company’s products or services. Generally, changes made in cash, accounts receivable, depreciation, inventory and accounts payable are reflected in cash from operations. Cash flow is calculated by making certain adjustments to net income by adding or subtracting differences in revenue, expenses and credit transactions (appearing on the balance sheet and income statement) resulting from transactions that occur from one period to the next. These adjustments are made because non-cash items are calculated into net income (income statement) and total assets and liabilities (balance sheet). So, because not all transactions involve actual cash items, many items have to be re-evaluated when calculating cash flow from operations.

Financial Ratios

To find the data used in the examples in this section, please see the XYZ Technologies Limited’s financial statements given earlier.

Liquidity Measurement Ratios

The first ratios we’ll take a look at are the liquidity ratios. Liquidity ratios attempt to measure a company’s ability to pay off its short-term debt obligations. This is done by comparing a company’s most liquid assets (or, those that can be easily converted to cash) and its short- term liabilities.

Current Ratio

The current ratio is a popular financial ratio used to test a company’s liquidity (also referred to as its current or working capital position) by deriving the proportion of current assets available to cover current liabilities. 

Current Ratio = Current Assets / Current Liabilities

Return On Assets

This ratio indicates how profitable a company is relative to its total assets. The return on assets (ROA) ratio illustrates how well management is employing the company’s total assets to make a profit. The higher the return, the more efficient management is in utilizing its asset base. The ROA ratio is calculated by comparing net income to average total assets, and is expressed as a percentage.

ROA = Net Income / Average Total Assets

Return On Equity

This ratio indicates how profitable a company is by comparing its net income to its average shareholders’ equity. The return on equity ratio (ROE) measures how much the shareholders earned for their investment in the company. The higher the ratio percentage, the more efficient management is in utilizing its equity base and the better return is to investors.

ROE = Net Income / Average Shareholders’ Equity

The Debt Ratio

The debt ratio compares a company’s total debt to its total assets, which is used to gain a general idea as to the amount of leverage being used by a company. A low percentage means that the company is less dependent on leverage, i.e., money borrowed from and/or owed to others. The lower the percentage, the less leverage a company is using and the stronger its equity position. In general, the higher the ratio, the more risk that company is considered to have taken on.

Debt Ratio = Total Liabilities /  Total Assets